Friday, June 12, 2009

Old as the hills: are Adirondack towns aging dangerously?

Another pressure point for Adirondack communities is their rapidly aging populations. The Adirondack Park Regional Assessment -- released this month -- made this prediction:
Park residents average just under 43 years of age, older than any state for median age. By 2020, only the west coast of Florida will exceed the Adirondacks as the oldest region in America.
The survey found a lot of texture within that picture. The most populous chunk of the Park -- the Tri-lakes -- now averages just 36-38 years old.

That's a shade older than the New York state average, but those communities are faring fairly well population-wise, holding steady or even growing.

There's a minor baby boom underway around the town of Essex, where locals just held a fundraiser for their collective daycare.

So there are glimmers of fresh demographic energy out there.

But Newcomb and Morehouse already have populations that average 50+, and a bunch of other towns are graying fast, averaging 47-49 years old. Those are dangerous horizons.

When most of your people are too old to have babies, you run the risk of, well, running out of babies.

These numbers raise a bunch of questions that Adirondack communities will have to start wrestling with:

-Are services in place to care for an increasingly aged society?

-Is there a way to begin recruiting new Adirondackers?

-Are jobs the answer? Better broadband access? What services or other enticements do young people need these days to lure them out of the cities and suburbs?

-With more residents on fixed incomes, how do we manage rising property taxes?

Here again from the Assessment:
The rising median age results in an increase in elderly residents who generally require more services than they produce. Volunteer-based emergency-service providers are having difficulty attracting younger members...

A growing exodus in the 20-35 year age grup creates other concerns. This important generational link is in decline and with it, a reduction in the infant and pre-school population.

This decrease is being offest by an increasing 50+ age group creating the illusion of a stable population in the park. Unless conditions are changed to retain and attract young adults, a decline in the park population is inevitable.

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7 Comments:

At June 12, 2009 10:08 AM , Blogger BRFvolpe said...

Jeesch - I'm an Adirondack Assessment poster child, and I didn't even know it! I winter in SW Florida, and am a quarter-century older than the average ADKer. Does it count that I feel pretty average?

 
At June 12, 2009 1:23 PM , Anonymous Anonymous said...

Dangerously? You are kidding with that hyperbole right?

 
At June 12, 2009 2:19 PM , Blogger Pete Klein said...

Brian,
Bob Dylan said, "You don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind is blowing," and you don't need a survey to know the number of youth are declining while the aging increase here in the Adirondacks.
Sorry to say, I don't think there is a solution.
After the best students graduate from high school and leave to attend college or join the military, it's hard to get them to come back after they have seen New York, Paris, LA, etc.
And if they marry someone from out of the area, the chances of them coming back are even smaller.

 
At June 12, 2009 2:43 PM , Blogger Brian Mann said...

Anonymous -

No, not kidding. In my ten years here, I've covered the closing of volunteer fire halls, churches, schools, grocery stores.

I've seen neighborhoods go dark.

I consider the small towns of the Adirondacks to be precious places.

The idea that Long Lake or Essex or Newcomb might well simply cease to exist -- that's bleak, right?

So when I call the trends that lead in that direction "dangerous" I think it's spot-on.

-Brian

 
At June 12, 2009 4:35 PM , Anonymous Anonymous said...

Such an interesting article. I'm a 20-something who kind of got stuck back up here. Do I really want to be here? No. As soon as I can go, I probably will. I see this as yet another article wondering how to attract younger people to the region. I can tell you what is not working and what I keep seeing.

Driving around finding multiple rustic furniture shops, sometimes across the road from each other! In the middle of nowhere! Yes, they make money, probably due to tourists. Young people drive through and go, "What if I don't want rustic furniture?"

Towns using only their history (HISTORY - it is no longer happening!) as somehow still pretending they are important landmarks. This will not attract younger people to them. Yes, the history is important, but if that's all the town has going for it, it's not even worth it. I've been to plenty of towns around here and many of them are dumpy, with rusty vehicles sitting around places and signs apparently made in the 1960's that have not been cleaned or updated. It's not inviting to see that stuff. It screams of hillbillies. I wouldn't want to live in an ugly, unclean, podunk town where the average number of teeth per person is 2 and neither would most of my peers. That's the image that the Adirondacks still has.

There really aren't many jobs up here that would interest us, so we are forced to move elsewhere to find decent jobs. Many of us went to college, and most of the jobs in a lot of these towns are well below the wage level and desirable activities.

Culture - this ties in with 'history' of the town. Quite a few towns up here don't have much culture. Hell, if I can't find at least one cafe I'm not sticking around! And trying to appeal to 20-somethings with the "slower, quieter way of life" thing is not going to work. Most of us don't want that. Now, I know that some small towns are actually quite lively, so I don't know why one would offer what only retired people seem to want, and then expect to get 20-somethings by the droves. And if those young people did not grow up in this area, it's going to be hard to get them to move up here, because they WILL become isolated from their families up here, and younger people do tend to stay near mom & dad for various reasons.

Depending on the town it may be really difficult to find really well educated people to talk to (unless it's an ADK college town). I'm not saying these towns are stupid, but when you have GED-holding or Regents diploma people who didn't go any further, there's a huge communication gap.

So sorry, ADKs. You'd really have to change to get younger people to stay or come here for good. It would just be too much work and uprooting tons of tradition and history that these towns are unwilling to do.

 
At June 14, 2009 8:46 AM , Anonymous Anonymous said...

"...kind of got stuck up here." What could possibly be keeping you here? Move man! Before it's too late and you end up being one of us toothless wonders who don't have ipods and OH MY GOD no cell service! After all there's nothing here, right? My advice, get out before it's too late

 
At June 14, 2009 11:04 AM , Blogger Pete Klein said...

This has been a fun thread about a serious subject so I'll be both serious and absurd.
To start with the absurd, one thing I have suggested to elected officials and some friends at the APA is there should be topless bars in every town. Pretty girls pole and lap dancing would at the very least attract some young, pretty girls to live and work here and they would attract some men to want to be here. A second advantage would be to attract snowmobilers even if there wasn't any snow.
On a more serious note, most towns and hamlets could use a serious face lift. Part of the problem is the refusal by these towns to have or enforce building codes and zoning. Property rights often include the right to live in junky squalor.
There is some culture but too often the culture is stuck in a fantasy idea of what the Adirondacks was.
A notable exception (and there are others I could mention) is the Adirondack Lakes Center for the Arts in Blue Mt. Lake.
With a new, young director, some Shakespeare in the Park is planned for this summer.
Even more revolutionary is an "Out in the Adirondacks" planned for Great Camp Sagamore on Aug. 21 - 23 in Raquette Lake. Just imagine - aimed at attracting GLBT's to spend a few days in the Adirondacks.

 

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